Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.031910 0.034668 0.037388 0.040267 0.043223 0.046165 0.049310
2024-12-22 0.025990 0.030424 0.034906 0.039752 0.044823 0.049955 0.055525
2024-12-29 0.022375 0.027856 0.033507 0.039714 0.046296 0.053031 0.060410
2025-01-05 0.019379 0.025604 0.032140 0.039419 0.047225 0.055284 0.064177
2025-01-12 0.016899 0.023693 0.030952 0.039141 0.048008 0.057231 0.067472
2025-01-19 0.014019 0.021138 0.028906 0.037794 0.047518 0.057712 0.069101
2025-01-26 0.012865 0.020447 0.028841 0.038536 0.049214 0.060462 0.073077
2025-02-02 0.011489 0.019403 0.028309 0.038698 0.050221 0.062420 0.076153
2025-02-09 0.009799 0.017880 0.027158 0.038109 0.050351 0.063381 0.078110
2025-02-16 0.008702 0.017004 0.026700 0.038253 0.051248 0.065138 0.080887
2025-02-23 0.007558 0.015994 0.026036 0.038124 0.051806 0.066494 0.083201
2025-03-02 0.006541 0.015076 0.025439 0.038035 0.052380 0.067840 0.085476
2025-03-09 0.005710 0.014424 0.025219 0.038467 0.053641 0.070055 0.088828
2025-03-16 0.004465 0.013122 0.024187 0.037957 0.053854 0.071139 0.090979
2025-03-23 0.003571 0.012215 0.023592 0.037919 0.054571 0.072751 0.093678
2025-03-30 0.002686 0.011205 0.022815 0.037630 0.054970 0.073984 0.095937
2025-04-06 0.001926 0.010266 0.022080 0.037357 0.055361 0.075184 0.098133
2025-04-13 0.000985 0.008750 0.020513 0.036032 0.054505 0.074964 0.098742
2025-04-20 0.000741 0.008523 0.020646 0.036761 0.056012 0.077375 0.102238
2025-04-27 0.000416 0.007986 0.020331 0.036921 0.056841 0.079010 0.104861
2025-05-04 0.000080 0.007071 0.019441 0.036342 0.056787 0.079635 0.106348
2025-05-11 NaN 0.006593 0.019143 0.036483 0.057563 0.081183 0.108847
2025-05-18 NaN 0.006002 0.018646 0.036356 0.058008 0.082345 0.110903